Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.188502 0.218279 0.251213 0.290343 0.335574 0.386227 0.447278
2025-08-31 0.140382 0.179901 0.228170 0.291474 0.372362 0.472341 0.605467
2025-09-07 0.115729 0.159084 0.215799 0.295449 0.404531 0.548889 0.754843
2025-09-14 0.095808 0.139458 0.199847 0.289525 0.419496 0.601355 0.875858
2025-09-21 0.082096 0.125572 0.188708 0.287116 0.436909 0.656870 1.005514
2025-09-28 0.072709 0.116260 0.182305 0.289806 0.460785 0.722941 1.157053
2025-10-05 0.067752 0.112815 0.183914 0.304314 0.503644 0.821577 1.369535
2025-10-12 0.062600 0.108222 0.182890 0.314055 0.539428 0.912279 1.579149
2025-10-19 0.057797 0.103489 0.180879 0.321572 0.571865 1.000345 1.793762
2025-10-26 0.052898 0.097903 0.176634 0.324471 0.596235 1.076713 1.996002
2025-11-02 0.047671 0.091041 0.169274 0.320753 0.608005 1.131632 2.165063
2025-11-09 0.042193 0.083027 0.158865 0.310069 0.605420 1.159731 2.286584
2025-11-16 0.039515 0.080121 0.157773 0.317197 0.637983 1.257857 2.555914
2025-11-23 0.036399 0.075986 0.153876 0.318416 0.659201 1.336696 2.796983
2025-11-30 0.033972 0.072934 0.151715 0.322758 0.686979 1.431085 3.080049
2025-12-07 0.030745 0.067811 0.144757 0.316287 0.691439 1.478291 3.269233
2025-12-14 0.028232 0.063913 0.139894 0.313654 0.703641 1.542664 3.502397
2025-12-21 0.026448 0.061410 0.137715 0.316594 0.728259 1.636018 3.810160
2025-12-28 0.025831 0.061468 0.141134 0.332443 0.783575 1.802475 4.303054
2026-01-04 0.024844 0.060549 0.142249 0.343086 0.828037 1.949113 4.766471
2026-01-11 0.023752 0.059251 0.142340 0.351298 0.867631 2.088617 5.228738
2026-01-18 0.022417 0.057201 0.140437 0.354466 0.895350 2.202963 5.642440
2026-01-25 0.020761 0.054160 0.135822 0.350404 0.904710 2.273962 5.955570